FYI, the Institute of Economic Affairs, where Snowdon works, is known to have received funding from alcohol, tobacco, sugar, gambling, and oil industry lobbies.^[1] The UK's Charity Commission recently opened an investigation into IEA.^[2]

One can, indeed, make the argument that an outright ban on smoking would violate the rights of people who have been smoking for their entire lives.^[1]

But most citizens would probably agree that at least some level of government intervention is justified for tobacco, when you consider that smoking is responsible for the deaths of 7 million people every year.

It does seem necessary to get governments to spend more of their own money on health, indeed. Do you think it would make sense to fund charities to try to convince governments to invest more in health (perhaps by also helping them increase their tax revenues, via increasing tax collection efficiency)?

Thanks for sharing this analysis, very interesting.

Haven't yet decided whether I approve of this name change. But it is certainly good news for the Nigerian economy (and maybe also the Republic of Congo) :) I just snapped up the coefficientgivi.ng domain name (inspired by shortened URLs like spoti.fi and youtu.be). Let me know if you want it (for free of course)!

Given that you are American, it is quite logical to first focus on America. But this tax incentive looks like something that could also be implemented in other countries around the world. Maybe this is an idea that AIM's Charity Entrepreneurship program could consider incubating?

“Scriptwriting is our current biggest bottleneck” Can you elaborate a bit? Is the hard part deciding what the messages are that you want to deliver or rather how to deliver them? 

Here is a list of all malaria-related grants GiveWell has made. 

One organization that GiveWell has made some grants to is PATH, they do work on vaccines (as well as some other things). You might want to look into them.

Perhaps The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria? 

They accept donations through the United Nations Foundation. One drawback: I did not see an option on the donation page to direct the donation to only malaria work, so the funds will probably get distributed between malaria, and the other health problems they focus on.

You can start by asking an LLM. If you provide it the level of income you expect to make, it can help with the math. (You will of course need to double check what the AI says.)