You might still want more on the margin, but I think this already happens a fair amount in EA:
+1. Bumping my quick take listing where some of the people who participated in my EA uni group while I was there ended up (this is now considerably out of date, but AFAIK these people remain on paths that seem super impactful)
This is a great post!
> ITN estimates sometimes consider broad versions of the problem when estimating importance and narrow versions when estimating total investment for the neglectedness factor (or otherwise exaggerate neglectedness), which inflates the overall results
I really like this framing. It isn't an ITN estimate, but a related claim I think I've seen a few times in EA spaces is:
"billions/trillions of dollars are being invested in AI development, but very few people are working on AI safety"
I think this claim:
I still think technical AI safety research is probably neglected, and I expect there's an argument here that does hold up. I'd love to see a more thorough ITN on this.
By my count, barring Trajan House, it now appears that EA has officially been annexed from Oxford
Do you mean Oxford University? That could be right (though a little strong, I'm sure it has its sympathisers). Noting that Oxford is still one of the cities (towns?) with the highest density of EAs in the world. People here are also very engaged (i.e. probably work in the space).
Starting afresh seems like the right move here, and I think it's super commendable to share that you're re-committing.
I have the same problem when it comes to end of year donations, and that prompted me to move to monthly donations (even if the idealized version of me would save accordingly and then make bigger donations more thoughtfully EOY).
Also:
This is still a lot of money, and a lot of good. Giving 5% of your income to charity for almost 10 years is a hugely generous and selfless thing to do :)