Hazem Hassan đź”¶

Student @ University of Pennsylvania (UPenn)
65 karmaJoined Pursuing an undergraduate degreePhiladelphia, PA, USA

Bio

Participation
3

Leading EA at UPenn. Freshman studying MechE.

Email: hazemh@seas.upenn.edu.

Comments
5

Your post reminded me to revive this project from my drafts and publish it:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/y7BGB3ikhN4RNzAq5/what-is-the-expected-value-of-working-on-ai-safety-i-ran-the. TL;DR below:

I estimate the expected impact of an additional early-career AI safety researcher by combining assumptions about AI risk, tractability, counterfactual replaceability, and population at stake to express the result in GiveWell-equivalent terms. Under what I believe are very conservative inputs, the estimate is on the order of a few million dollars per year in equivalent donations. The results are very sensitive to some unkown parameters, though. Access the calculator/model used here (tweakable to a wide range of beliefs and judgements).

In short, I think the competing earning-to-give number is $5M/yr (or so), not $80k/yr.

Oh that was a complete misunderstanding on my part. Thank you

Your post (along with Anthropic's statement, and Sam Altman's tweet) convinced me to switch from ChatGPT Plus to Claude Pro.

I am not particuarly convinced by Bregman's reasoning. I think the frequent prompts (by your post, Anthropic's, and Altman's) to consider boycotting ChatGPT is probably what actually convinced me, which is not very rational to best honest.

My "rational" justification is that I think moving $20/month from OpenAI to Anthropic is most likely non-negative (and probably positive). I'm not sure it why I never thought of this before haha

Thank you!

I might be biased (same school, tried something similar in physics), but great work! I recommend promoting the Olympiads nationally once they're stable, so more students can benefit. I believe (not super confident about this, though) that the private tutoring market in Egypt can absorb a lot of demand from students wanting to participate in Science Olympiads, so you shouldn't (at least in my opinion) try to train students en masse; just create the incentive. No idea how you can do that, though-- I assume social media is the cheapest method?

Also, not trying to bring you down, but Egypt's bureaucracy is hell (you probably know this already). If you manage to launch just one Olympiad and keep it stable for 1-2 years, that's fantastic. If you ever feel like you're hitting too many walls, it's totally fine to rethink the whole project and invest your time in other (more impactful) ones

Good luck!